Here is the way I figure it.

We are not counting my hand as a revealed hand. I can’t remember if I held a club.

So after the flop there are 7 cards revealed, leaving 45 unrevealed.

Peter has the Ace of clubs.

Greg has two small clubs.

The flop has three clubs.

So there are 13 - 6 or only 7 clubs left to be revealed.

Peter has a 7 in 45 chance of seeing a club on the turn.

The odds that Peter will catch another club on the turn are about 15.6 percent

The turn is not a club, so Peter has 7 in 44 on the river or 15.9 percent

So, Peter’s odds of hitting just one club after the flop are 31.4 percent.

They could be a bit higher if you consider that certainly no one who folded after the flop, folded two clubs. I don't remember who was in after the flop. It may have been just me. However, I don't think that does much to change the math.

Peter is the clear underdog.

## No comments:

Post a Comment